Impact of Firm’s Fundamentals on Return of Stocks in Nepal

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.58421/misro.v3i1.174

Authors

Keywords:

Return, Earnings per share, The market value of equity, Cash flow yield, Book-to-market equity

Abstract

Return on stock is the chief concern of firm investors. Investors prefer better stock returns, and management focuses on increasing stock returns for wealth maximization. Internal factors are the firm fundamentals, and external factors are various macroeconomic variables that influence stock returns. This paper uses descriptive and causality research designs to examine the impact of firm fundamentals on stock returns in Nepal for the fiscal year 2007/08-2021/22. In this paper, the dependent variable is stock return and firm fundamentals such as earnings per share (EPS), book-to-market equity (BME), size of market value of equity (lnME), cash flow yields (CFY), and earning yield (EY) are used as explanatory variables. The correlation result shows that EPS, BME, and EY have positive relationships, and lnME and CFY have negative relationships with stock returns. The regression results reveal the positive impact of EPS, BME, and EY on stock returns in Nepalese firms. This indicates that higher EPS, BME, and EY lead to increased firms’ stock returns. Further, the result reports that lnME and CFY have an inverse influence on returns. Finally, the finding concludes that earnings per share, book-to-market equity, size of market value equity, and cash flow yields are strong, but earnings yield has a weak impact on the stock returns of firms in Nepal. Policymakers, investors, and academicians can implement the findings of this study for effective formulation and application of policies, maximize stock returns, and research activities.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

H. Markowitz, “Portfolio Selection,” J. Finance, vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 77–91, 1952.

W. F. Sharpe, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk,” J. Finance, vol. 19, no. 3, pp. 425–442, Sep. 1964, doi: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1964.tb02865.x.

J. Lintner, “The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets,” Rev. Econ. Stat., vol. 47, no. 1, pp. 13–37, 1965.

J. Mossin, “Equilibrium in a Capital Asset Market,” Econometrica, vol. 34, no. 4, pp. 768–783, 1966.

S. A. Ros, “The Arbitrage Theory of Capital Asset Pricing,” J. Econ. Theory, vol. 13, no. 3, pp. 341–360, 1976.

D. Stattman, “Book values and stock returns,” Chicago MBA A J. Sel. Pap., vol. 4, pp. 25–45, 1980.

R. W. Banz, “The relationship between return and market value of common stocks,” J. financ. econ., vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 3–18, Mar. 1981, doi: 10.1016/0304-405X(81)90018-0.

S. Basu, “The relationship between earnings’ yield, market value and return for NYSE common stocks: Further evidence,” J. financ. econ., vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 129–156, 1983, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(83)90031-4.

L. C. Bhandari, “Debt/Equity Ratio and Expected Common Stock Returns: Empirical Evidence,” J. Finance, vol. 43, no. 2, pp. 507–528, Jun. 1988, doi: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1988.tb03952.x.

E. F. Fama and K. R. French, “The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns,” J. Finance, vol. 47, no. 2, pp. 427–465, 1992.

J. L. Davis, E. F. Fama, and K. R. French, “Characteristics, Covariances, and Average Returns: 1929-1997,” SSRN Electron. J., vol. 55, no. 1, pp. 389–406, 2000, doi: 10.2139/ssrn.98678.

B. Rosenberg Reid, Kenneth, Lanstein, Ronald, “Persuasive evidence of market inefficiency,” The Journal of Portfolio Management, vol. 11, no. 11. pp. 9–16, 1985, doi: 10.3905/jpm.1985.409007.

E. F. Fama and K. R. French, “Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds,” J. financ. econ., vol. 33, no. 1, pp. 3–56, Feb. 1993, doi: 10.1016/0304-405X(93)90023-5.

E. F. Fama and K. R. French, “Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies,” J. Finance, vol. 51, no. 1, pp. 55–84, Mar. 1996, doi: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1996.tb05202.x.

R. Roll, “A possible explanation of the small firm effect,” J. Finance, vol. 36, pp. 879–888, 1981.

L. K. C. Chan, Y. Hamao, and J. Lakonishok, “Fundamentals and Stock Returns in Japan,” J. Finance, vol. 46, no. 5, p. 1739, Dec. 1991, doi: 10.2307/2328571.

J. L. Davis, “The Cross‐Section of Realized Stock Returns: The Pre‐COMPUSTAT Evidence,” J. Finance, vol. 49, no. 5, pp. 1579–1593, Dec. 1994, doi: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1994.tb04773.x.

B. M. Barber and J. D. Lyon, “Firm Size, Book-to-Market Ratio, and Security Returns: A Holdout Sample of Financial Firms,” J. Finance, vol. 52, no. 2, p. 875, Jun. 1997, doi: 10.2307/2329503.

D. Kim, “A Reexamination of Firm Size, Book-To-Market, and Earnings Price in the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns,” J. Financ. Quant. Anal., vol. 32, no. 4, p. 463, Dec. 1997, doi: 10.2307/2331233.

R. S. Pradhan, Fundamentals of stock returns in Nepal, 2nd ed. Kathmandu: Buddha Academic Publishers & Distributers Pvt. Ltd, 2003.

P.-H. Chou, R. K. Chou, and J.-S. Wang, “On the Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns: Fama-French Ten Years Later,” Financ. Lett., vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 18–22, 2004.

L. Guan, D. R. Hansen, S. L. Leikam, and J. Shaw, “Stable beta, size, earning to price, book to market and the validity of the capital assets pricing model,” J. Manag. Financ., vol. 33, no. 8, pp. 595–614, 2007.

P. Simlai, “Stock returns, size, and book-to-market equity,” Stud. Econ. Financ., vol. 26, no. 3, pp. 198–212, 2009.

B. K. Prasai, “CAPM anomalies and pricing of equity: A case of Nepal,” Tribhuvan University, 2010.

M. Shafana, A. F. Rimziya, and A. I. Jariya, “Relationship between stock returns and firm size and book to market equity: Empirical evidence from selected companies listed on Milanka Price Index in Colombo Stock Exchange,” J. Emerg. Trends Econ. Manag. Sci., vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 217–225, 2013.

S. Farooq, S. S. Hasan, and M. Muddassir, “Stock return indicators: Debt to equity, book to market, firm size and sales to price,” J. Poverty, Investment, Dev., vol. 16, pp. 25–33, 2015.

M. B. Ltaifa and W. Khoufi, “Book to market and size as determinants of stock returns: An empirical investigation from MENA countries,” Int. J. Res. Accounting, Financ. Manag. Sci., vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 142–160, 2016.

M. Anwaar, “Impact of firm’s performance on stock returns: Evidence from listed companies of FTSE-100 index London, UK,” Glob. J. Manag. Bus. Res., vol. 16, no. 1, pp. 30–39, 2016.

R. Gautam, “Impact of firm-specific variables on stock price volatility and stock returns of Nepalese commercial banks,” Int. J. Res. Bus. Stud. Manag., vol. 4, no. 6, pp. 33–44, 2017.

S. Anandasayanan, “Stock return predictability with financial ratios: An empirical study of listed manufacturing companies in Sri Lanka,” Int. J. Account. Financ. Report., vol. 8, no. 4, pp. 471–481, 2018.

R. Zainudin, N. S. Mahdzan, and C. H. Yet, “Dividend policy and stock price volatility of industrial products firms in Malaysia,” Int. J. Emerg. Mark., vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 203–217, Jan. 2018, doi: 10.1108/IJoEM-09-2016-0250.

P. P. Silwal and S. Napit, “Fundamentals of Stock Price in Nepalese commercial banks,” Int. Res. J. Manag. Sci., vol. 4, no. 1, 2019.

D. A. Surjandari, L. Nurlaelawati, and A. . Soma, “Asset, Capital Structure, Liquidity, Firm Size’s Impact On Stock Return,” Int. J. Commer. Financ., vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 81–91, 2020.

Y. N. B, “The Effect of Book to Market Ratio, Profitability, and Investment on Stock Return,” Int. J. Econ. Manag. Stud., vol. 7, no. 6, pp. 102–107, 2020, doi: 10.14445/23939125/ijems-v7i6p114.

C. O. Omodero, D. T. Adetula, and K. Adeyemo, “Stock market reaction to monetary policy modifications: Evidence from and emergent market,” Acad. J. Interdiscip. Stud., vol. 10, no. 3, pp. 59–66, 2021.

Nepal Stock Exchange Limited, “Annual Trading Report,” Kathmandu.

Securities Board of Nepal, “Annual Report,” Kathmandu.

P. M. Shrestha and P. Lamichhane, “Effect of firm-specific variables on stock returns: Evidence from Nepal,” Quest J. Manag. Soc. Sci., vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 249–259, 2022.

Downloads

Published

2023-12-06

How to Cite

[1]
Pitambar Lamichhane and Bashu Dev Dhungel, “Impact of Firm’s Fundamentals on Return of Stocks in Nepal”, J.Math.Instr.Soc.Res.Opin., vol. 3, no. 1, pp. 13–22, Dec. 2023.

Issue

Section

Articles